Although Hollywood also is fielding three other wide releases and two more modest platform launches, Bourne should outrun the competition and force the previous weekend's chart-topper, The Simpsons Movie, into second place.
Universal Pictures' Ultimatum, which takes the globe-trotting Bourne (Matt Damon) to Tangier and New York, looks poised to hit the high-$50 million range, possibly even pushing into $60 million territory.
The first film in the series, The Bourne Identity, opened to $27.1 million in 2002. The Bourne Supremacy bowed to $52.5 million three summers ago. Both Supremacy and Ultimatum were directed by Paul Greengrass.
20th Century Fox's Simpsons, which bowed last weekend to a resounding $74 million, will likely follow with a haul in the $33 million-$37 million range. The animated movie is expected to cross the century mark Friday.
In a bid for the family audience, Walt Disney Pictures is unleashing Underdog, a live-action version of the 1960s cartoon series about a canine superhero. It should open in the $11 million-$14 million range.
Paramount's Hot Rod, in which breakout Saturday Night Live star Andy Samberg makes his big-screen debut as an Evel Knievel wannabe, is expected to race off with about $7 million-$10 million.
And then there's Bratz: The Movie, a live-action tween comedy based on the popular doll line. Handicappers will be surprised if the Lionsgate release rises much higher than the $5 million mark in its first weekend.
Utilizing a more selective rollout, Picturehouse is raising the curtain on the musical drama El Cantante, a biopic about salsa singer Hector Lavoe starring Marc Anthony. Jennifer Lopez, who is married to Anthony, produced and also stars in the R-rated film, which should find favor among Latino audiences as it debuts in 542 theaters.
Miramax Films also will introduce Becoming Jane, a period romance in which Jane Austen (Anne Hathaway) takes center stage. It will dance into 100 theaters.
On 25 screens, ThinkFilm is venturing out with the R-rated The Ten, a skit comedy built around outrageous infractions of the Ten Commandments.
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